Thursday 10 November 2016

What next for GBP/USD exchange rates?

With markets still digesting Trumps surprise victory yesterday, the GBP/USD cross has edged lower during the first few hours of today's London trading session. So far the pound has lost around three quarters of cent against the dollar, with the currency pair slipping from $1.2453 to $1.2378 as you can see by the graph below.

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GBP/USD graph



Will the dollar continue to strengthen?


Potentially yes....Now that markets have had a chance to reflect on yesterday's election outcome, some forecasts are now suggesting the dollar will continue to strengthen over the next few months.

The dollar's value could increase because of a number of factors, rising inflation and a higher return on investments being one, while we have to remember that during uncertain time's traders and investors view the dollar as a safe-haven currency.

The dollar could also receive a boost if the U.S. Federal Reserve raise interest rates at their next meeting on the 14th December.

However, there are still concerns over the long term impact Trumps victory will have on the U.S. economy. Fears over some of Trumps policies could actually be a good thing for the pound, as it takes some of the focus away from the UK and its exit from the European Union.

The UK's vote to leave the EU has seen the pound decline across the board, and as it stands sterling is down around seventeen per cent against the dollar since June.

If markets take the view that Britain's exit is the start of global shift towards more right wing voting, then we could see the pound start to claw back some of the ground it has lost against it counterparts over the last five months.

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As a specialist in currency exchange, I have a wide range of tools at my disposal to help protect you against adverse market movements or target a rate of exchange that might not be currently available.

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