Wednesday 22 January 2014

GBP/USD exchange rates rise yet again

Good afternoon,

More positive new for the UK economy this morning helped the pound rise by over cent against the dollar during trading today. As I mentioned in Mondays post all eyes were going to be focused on this mornings UK unemployment figures and the numbers did not disappoint.

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Figures released this morning by the Office of National Statistics showed that unemployment in the UK has now fallen to 7.1% and the news had an immediate impact on the FX markets. GBP/USD exchange rates rose from $1.6450 to $1.6584, taking us the highest we have seen the cross since the 2nd of January. It also means Sterling has gained over 1.5% in the last five days which is great news for dollar buyers, £200,000 now achieves an extra $5,000 more compared to the same trade booked on the 17th January.

This mornings positive unemployment figures came as a bit of a surprise, the initial forecast had only been for the number to fall by 0.1% to 7.3% but this latest report takes us to the brink of the Bank of England target rate of 7% and a potential interest rate rise.

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As I have already said this latest movement for GBP/USD is excellent news for anyone looking to buy dollars, but with any positive there will always be a negative and for those looking to sell dollars this latest rise will come as bitter blow.

Dollar sellers have had a rough ride over the last few months and unless there is a dramatic change in the U.S. economy or the Federal Reserve decide to speed up tapering things could get worse before they get better.

If you are looking at selling dollars the one thing I would say is not to get caught chasing your tail. If the UK continues to improve at its current pace we could quite easily see rates continue to rise, which means that when/if the dollar does start to strengthen exchange rates may only come down to the levels we are seeing now.

As a currency broker I have a range of currency contracts available, if you are selling dollars I can help protect you against any adverse movements or if you are buying I can help secure your rate for up to two years in the future to take advantage of this recent rise.

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