Friday 15 June 2012

GBP/USD weekly overview


Last week before the election results were announced, it was fairly uneventful as rates stayed relatively stable compared to the recent volatility, with rates staying around the 1.5450 to 1.56 level on the mid-market. 











 Pound/dollar rates remained relatively flat throughout the week despite a number of poor data releases coming from the U.S. Rates held above $1.55 with investors still concerned over issues surrounding the euro-zone and the potential knock on effect it could have on the UK economy.

The dollar is still seen as the currency of choice for investors despite U.S consumer prices falling by 0.3% in May. Figures showed that a drop in petrol prices was behind the biggest monthly fall in over three years, coupled with the rise in Initial and Continuing Jobless Claims and last Wednesdays fall in Retail Sales there has been added speculation that further monetary stimulus could be around the corner to help the faltering U.S economy.
 
 A significant announcement last Thursday evening was from BoE chief Mervyn King caused the pound to fall sharply against a basket of currencies as the market reacted to his speech. Before the announcement pound dollar rates were sitting at $1.5560 but as the UK markets opened on Friday morning there was sharp decline as cable fell back to $1.5475. This recovered through the day however, breaking back into the $1.56’s as markets decided the pre-emptive move was positive for the UK

King announced that the BoE will launch two new stimulus packages in response to the UK and Global economic outlook. The BoE and government will make billions of pounds of cheap credit available to banks which they can lend to companies. This weakened the value of sterling making it cheaper to purchase which is why we saw a drop in rates across the board.

Over the past couple of weeks we have seen some major movements for the pound/dollar cross, in the space of a few weeks we saw rates drop by nearly 6.5%, as issues in the Euro-zone meant investors headed back to the safe haven U.S dollar.

With much uncertainty continuing to drive exchange rates, contact me today to discuss how to minimise the impact of adverse movements. If you are not yet registered, click here to send me free enquiry.