Friday, 20 July 2012

Sterling/dollar weekly overview


The last few days have been better if you were looking to buy U.S dollars. Rates pushed to a new one month high following the decline we witnessed the previous week; negative data from the US and better than expected unemployment data from the UK helped rates climb back above the $1.57 mark:

 










Last week saw a generally disappointing week for the US Dollar which in turn helped the Pound; unfavourable data releases meant we saw the GBP/USD rate reach the 1.5734 (a fresh one month high at mid-market) compared to a high of 1.5562 in the previous week. Euro weakness did persist throughout the week, helping safe haven currencies such as sterling, and whispers did bring up whether we might see parity between the EUR/USD before the end of the year should the continue to weaken as it has been in recent weeks. The EUR/USD rate fell 0.77% to a low of 1.2216 after German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s comments added to Euro zone fears, causing people to seek safer investments.

Over in the states, mixed messages from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke caused further uncertainty as he said easing tools are still available if they are required but might not actually be necessary, hinting at further Quantitative Easing in the USA. Towards the end of last week Sterling became the better performer out of the major currencies, although there was no way you could have described its performance as strong, it did at least move higher against the dollar and Euro on Thursday and Friday as outlined in the Euro report. The US Dollar’s disappointing or negative data included weekly jobless claims, existing home sales and the Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index.

The dollar will always benefit from being a safe haven currency; as soon as investors are “spooked” or want to get out of riskier currencies they will flock back to the US dollar making it more expensive to purchase. If you need to purchase dollars it is important to try and take advantage of movement in the markets and to use our different contracts to make sure you are budgeting effectively.

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