Friday, 15 June 2012

Why has sterling fallen this morning?


Good morning. The pound fell sharply against a basket of currencies on Friday morning as the market reacted to Bank of England (BoE) Chief Mervyn King’s speech on Thursday evening. Before the announcement pound dollar rates were sitting at $1.5560 but as the UK markets opened this morning there was sharp decline as cable (GBP/USD cross) fell back to $1.5475.

At 8pm yesterday evening Sir Mervyn King announced the BoE will launch two new stimulus packages in response to the UK and Global economic outlook. The BoE and government will make billions of pounds of cheap credit available to banks which they can lend to companies. This has weakened the value of sterling making it cheaper to purchase which is why we have seen a drop in rates across the board.

The move gives the UK banks access to money which will allow them to cope with “exceptional market stresses” and according to Chancellor George Osborne these new measures should “inject confidence”. His comments seem to be correct as a number of banks saw a rise in share prices, with one bank seeing a jump of nearly 4%.

In his speech Sir Mervyn said ''The other effect of the euro-area crisis has been to create a large black cloud of uncertainty hanging over our economy too''

With the Greek election result due over the weekend we could see rates move in either direction. No one is sure which way the vote will go and if Greece intends to stay in the Euro-zone. The move by the Bank of England could be a way of protecting the UK banks and economy from the knock on effects of the weekend’s results.

Over the past couple of weeks we have seen some major movements for the pound/dollar cross, in the space of a few weeks we saw rates drop by nearly 6.5%, as issues in the Euro-zone meant investors headed back to the safe haven U.S dollar. If the weekend results indicate anything but positive news it is likely we could see rates fall back even further.

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